Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.003593 0.003775 0.003961 0.004166 0.004385 0.004614 0.004870
2025-03-16 0.003255 0.003523 0.003809 0.004137 0.004505 0.004907 0.005380
2025-03-23 0.003013 0.003326 0.003668 0.004073 0.004542 0.005070 0.005715
2025-03-30 0.002832 0.003173 0.003556 0.004019 0.004569 0.005205 0.006005
2025-04-06 0.002713 0.003082 0.003502 0.004020 0.004650 0.005397 0.006362
2025-04-13 0.002538 0.002912 0.003344 0.003886 0.004556 0.005366 0.006436
2025-04-20 0.002456 0.002847 0.003306 0.003891 0.004627 0.005535 0.006764
2025-04-27 0.002412 0.002824 0.003315 0.003951 0.004765 0.005791 0.007212
2025-05-04 0.002324 0.002743 0.003248 0.003910 0.004771 0.005875 0.007434
2025-05-11 0.002250 0.002677 0.003196 0.003885 0.004794 0.005978 0.007684
2025-05-18 0.002181 0.002613 0.003143 0.003856 0.004809 0.006069 0.007920
2025-05-25 0.002157 0.002604 0.003160 0.003916 0.004942 0.006325 0.008398
2025-06-01 0.002102 0.002555 0.003124 0.003906 0.004982 0.006454 0.008704
2025-06-08 0.002043 0.002499 0.003076 0.003879 0.004996 0.006547 0.008961
2025-06-15 0.001976 0.002429 0.003008 0.003820 0.004963 0.006570 0.009111
2025-06-22 0.001916 0.002368 0.002948 0.003770 0.004940 0.006605 0.009279
2025-06-29 0.001879 0.002335 0.002926 0.003772 0.004988 0.006745 0.009617
2025-07-06 0.001797 0.002240 0.002818 0.003648 0.004852 0.006604 0.009499
2025-07-13 0.001766 0.002214 0.002801 0.003653 0.004901 0.006743 0.009840
2025-07-20 0.001755 0.002213 0.002819 0.003707 0.005026 0.007002 0.010393
2025-07-27 0.001712 0.002168 0.002775 0.003670 0.005011 0.007044 0.010582
2025-08-03 0.001676 0.002131 0.002741 0.003647 0.005017 0.007116 0.010827
2025-08-10 0.001641 0.002095 0.002706 0.003621 0.005016 0.007179 0.011056